Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros

2026-07-30 01:39 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 45.79%2.18momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.03%45.79%45.74%46.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.082.082.1351.02%48.13%48.08%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 54.21%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.739%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.25%54.21%54.26%54.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.761.771.8259.52%56.81%56.66%54.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.35%E -0.739%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-29 02:04
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 00:54
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 00:54
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.46%E -1.15%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 02:04
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 20:54
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:00
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:04
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:04
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:04
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 01:44
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 00:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 00:59
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:49
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:49
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 02:04
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.29%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.51%E -1.97%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 01:39
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.29%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 01:43
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.29%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 01:04
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 01:05
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 01:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 01:04
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 01:04
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 01:04
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 01:49
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:25
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:04
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:04
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 01:04
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 00:59
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 20:24
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:45
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:44
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 00:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 20:34
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 00:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 00:59
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 01:09
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 01:39
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 01:05
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.87%E -4.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.24%E -5.23%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.93%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-29 00:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-29 02:09
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-29 02:09
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%3.0%2026-07-29 02:05
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%5.1%2026-07-29 01:59
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%7.6%2026-07-29 02:00
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%9.1%2026-07-29 01:59