Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-06-11 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 3–2 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 53.01%1.89momio equitativo
EV -0.869%
Ventaja -0.465%
Kelly -0.999%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%52.90%53.02%53.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.811.801.8757.14%55.33%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 46.99%2.13momio equitativo
EV -0.383%
Ventaja -0.181%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.19%47.10%46.98%48.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.032.022.1251.28%49.27%49.50%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 53.01%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 46.99%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.13. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.12, con un valor esperado de -0.383%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.869%E -0.465%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 15:20
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.40%E -0.752%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.73%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 01:20
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.93%E -1.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.79%E -0.858%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-11 01:30
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.93%E -1.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.93%E -1.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.73%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-11 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.93%E -1.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.46%E -1.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-11 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.46%E -1.34%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.55%E -2.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 00:29
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-10 23:37
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-11 01:20
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:49
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 01:10
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.383%E -0.181%K -0.342%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 00:29
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.853%E -0.404%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 01:30
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.853%E -0.404%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.14%E -2.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.14%E -2.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 01:20
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.05%E -2.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.05%E -2.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 01:20
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.05%E -2.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 01:20
LeoVegas🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.05%E -2.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 01:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.05%E -2.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 01:19
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.05%E -2.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.05%E -2.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 01:20
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.05%E -2.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 23:20
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 00:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 00:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 23:30
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 00:30
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.14%E -2.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 01:30
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.14%E -2.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 00:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 01:20
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 01:19
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 01:19
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 23:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.11%E -2.85%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 00:29
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.11%E -2.85%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 00:30
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.73%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 00:30
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.14%E -2.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 00:30
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 01:19
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.67%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 01:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.43%E -3.77%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 01:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.72%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.28%-0.7%2026-06-11 01:29
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-06-11 01:10
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-06-11 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-06-11 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-06-11 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-06-11 01:20
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-10 21:50
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-10 22:50
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-06-11 01:30