La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Angels v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-06-23 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 1–6 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 40.82%2.45momio equitativo
EV +2.04%
Ventaja +0.815%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.81%40.70%40.83%41.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.242.352.352.5044.64%42.56%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 59.18%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -3.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.23%59.30%59.17%62.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.611.621.6565.79%62.03%61.73%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +2.04%E +0.815%K +1.36%G +0.028%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -10.04%E -6.60%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 23:39
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV +1.22%E +0.492%K +0.825%G +0.010%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 01:30
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.405%E +0.165%K +0.277%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 01:27
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.405%E +0.165%K +0.277%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 01:29
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +0.405%E +0.165%K +0.277%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 01:29
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.003%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.67%E -4.92%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 23:39
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.003%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.67%E -4.92%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 01:29
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.411%E -0.169%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 01:30
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.411%E -0.169%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 01:29
Everygame2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.820%E -0.337%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-23 01:20
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -1.23%E -0.507%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-23 01:19
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.04%E -0.852%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 23:29
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.04%E -0.852%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 18:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.04%E -0.852%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 01:29
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.04%E -0.852%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 01:29
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.04%E -0.852%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 01:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 01:29
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 01:29
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.68%E -1.56%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 23:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 12:29
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-23 00:19
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:39
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 23:38
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 01:29
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 23:30
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 01:29
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 01:29
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 23:29
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.49%E -1.92%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 23:30
SportsBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.90%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 13:39
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.90%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 23:30
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.90%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 01:19
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.90%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.71%E -2.93%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 01:20
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.31%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.94%E -1.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 00:19
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.31%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.94%E -1.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 00:20
DraftKings2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -5.72%E -2.48%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:39
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 07:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 07:49
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 00:19
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 00:19
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 00:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 00:19
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 00:19
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.53%E -2.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 00:19
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 08:40
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 00:19
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 00:19
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 00:19
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:39
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.12%E -2.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 07:49
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 01:29
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 07:49
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 01:19
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.13%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 23:10
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 22:39
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.17%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.30%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 00:19
Betclic (FR)2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.57%E -3.83%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.49%E -4.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 01:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-06-23 01:30
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-06-23 01:30
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-06-23 01:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-23 01:29
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-22 04:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-23 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-23 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-23 01:29
BetOpenly2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%1.5%2026-06-23 01:29
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-06-23 01:30