La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Angels v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-04-08 01:39 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Predicción 46.04%2.17momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.474%
Kelly -0.887%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%46.07%46.05%47.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.1550.00%47.90%47.62%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 53.96%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.982%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.91%53.93%53.95%55.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.761.751.8258.48%56.79%57.14%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.02%E -0.474%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 22:39
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.48%E -0.692%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 01:00
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.94%E -0.911%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.79%E -0.982%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-08 01:04
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.94%E -0.911%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 01:00
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-08 01:00
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.33%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-08 01:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:35
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:40
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:39
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:39
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:39
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.40%E -1.13%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:39
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.79%E -0.982%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 01:25
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 00:48
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:05
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:05
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.10%E -3.51%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 00:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 00:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 00:50
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:40
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:39
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:39
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 02:10
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.32%E -1.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.72%E -4.52%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 01:34
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.78%E -1.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 01:30
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.24%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.41%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 22:00
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.24%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 00:50
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.24%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 23:35
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.24%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.24%E -2.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 01:00
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.70%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.87%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 01:30
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.70%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.87%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 01:29
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.70%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:00
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.70%E -2.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:05
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.16%E -2.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:00
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.16%E -2.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.62%E -2.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.87%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 00:00
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.62%E -2.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.87%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.62%E -2.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.87%E -1.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.62%E -2.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 23:39
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.62%E -2.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:35
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.08%E -2.98%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.41%E -1.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 01:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.93%E -3.96%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.95%E -2.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 01:29
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.93%E -3.96%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 01:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.93%E -3.96%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.03%E -2.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 01:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.93%E -3.96%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.57%E -3.18%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 23:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.93%E -3.96%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-08 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-08 01:25
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-08 01:25
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-04-08 01:35
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-08 01:35
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-07 22:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-04-08 01:35
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-04-08 01:35
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%3.3%2026-04-08 01:30