Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-08-22 23:16 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 3–1 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 50.00%2.00odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.761%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.94%49.92%50.00%50.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.911.9754.64%52.36%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 50.00%2.00odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.761%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.60%50.08%50.00%51.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.911.9754.05%52.32%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.00%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 50.00%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.97, com valor esperado de -1.50%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 14:25
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 08:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:15
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 14:09
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 21:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 14:34
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 20:14
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 21:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 21:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 21:15
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 03:10
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 21:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 21:14
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 12:09
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 11:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 05:49
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 14:24
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 05:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 05:49
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 01:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 01:49
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 01:49
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 04:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:04
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 22:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:14
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 08:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 01:44
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 01:44
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 02:54
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 01:59
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:14
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:14
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:14
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 21:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 21:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 21:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:19
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 20:50
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 23:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 22:49
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 23:03
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 21:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-08-22 23:10
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-08-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-22 23:15
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 11:35
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 23:15
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.8%2026-08-22 23:15
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-08-22 23:00