L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v Detroit Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 23:21 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 3–6 Detroit Tigers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 53.62%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.69%53.48%55.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.771.781.8358.14%56.41%56.18%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.38%2.16cote équitable
EV +0.643%
Avantage +0.296%
Kelly +0.550%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.79%46.31%46.52%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.072.1751.28%48.19%48.31%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.643%E +0.296%K +0.550%G +0.004%1.9%2026-05-10 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV +0.180%E +0.083%K +0.155%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 23:20
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.284%E -0.132%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 23:19
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.748%E -0.350%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 23:19
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.95%E -1.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.21%E -0.569%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-10 23:19
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.95%E -1.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.21%E -0.569%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-10 23:19
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 20:39
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 20:39
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 20:39
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 20:39
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 20:39
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 20:39
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 20:39
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 20:39
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 20:39
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 20:39
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 20:39
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 20:39
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.68%E -0.790%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 20:39
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.87%E -1.02%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 15:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.87%E -1.02%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 21:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 23:19
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 23:19
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 23:19
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.07%E -1.47%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 23:18
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 23:18
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 23:02
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:49
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:09
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:09
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 12:14
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:44
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 15:09
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 23:19
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 23:19
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 23:19
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 23:19
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:44
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 23:19
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:44
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 15:44
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 22:33
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.39%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 15:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:44
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 19:09
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.31%E -3.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:49
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.31%E -3.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:48
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 23:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 23:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 20:09
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 20:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.48%E -1.93%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 20:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-05-10 23:18
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-10 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-10 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-10 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-10 23:20
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-10 23:19
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-10 23:19
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-05-10 23:20
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-05-10 23:19
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-10 23:19