La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-05-20 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 3–4 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 51.12%1.96momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.33%51.18%51.05%53.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.861.861.9156.50%53.75%53.76%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 48.88%2.05momio equitativo
EV +0.684%
Ventaja +0.332%
Kelly +0.646%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.95%48.82%48.95%50.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.961.952.0654.05%51.13%51.28%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV +0.684%E +0.332%K +0.646%G +0.004%2.0%2026-05-20 20:50
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.27%E -0.629%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 23:30
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.27%E -0.629%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 23:30
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.35%E -1.23%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.76%E -0.875%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 23:30
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.76%E -0.875%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 23:40
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.76%E -0.875%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.76%E -0.875%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 23:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.25%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 23:40
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.25%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 07:49
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.47%E -4.12%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.25%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 20:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.25%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 02:29
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.51%E -5.37%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.25%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 23:38
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 23:38
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:40
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 23:39
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 14:58
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 23:00
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 23:39
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:40
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 22:49
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 23:39
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 23:30
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 23:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 22:49
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:39
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 22:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:30
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:29
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:40
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 23:30
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:40
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 23:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 23:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 23:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 23:30
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 23:40
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 23:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-20 23:40
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-20 23:39
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-05-20 23:30
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-20 23:00
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-05-20 23:40
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10%1.4%2026-05-20 23:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-05-20 23:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-05-20 23:40