A Escola das Odds

Kansas City Royals v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-04-20 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 5–7 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 48.92%2.04odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.96%48.95%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.901.951.952.0052.63%51.18%51.28%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 51.08%1.96odd justa
EV -1.42%
Vantagem -0.733%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.04%51.05%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.861.851.9355.56%53.70%54.05%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.16%E -1.08%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.44%E -1.28%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-20 20:44
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.16%E -1.08%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.44%E -1.28%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-20 21:49
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.16%E -1.08%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.97%E -2.11%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-20 23:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.16%E -1.08%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.06%E -4.48%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 03:09
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.42%E -0.733%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 23:35
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.42%E -0.733%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 21:49
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 21:49
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.65%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 21:50
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.42%E -0.733%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 23:35
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.99%E -2.68%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 09:35
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.97%E -2.11%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:40
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 23:19
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.01%E -3.27%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 11:44
MyBookie.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.46%E -1.83%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 18:45
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 23:24
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 23:24
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 23:24
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 23:24
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 23:24
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 23:24
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.01%E -3.27%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.01%E -3.27%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 23:24
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.95%E -1.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 14:49
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 14:49
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 20:45
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 15:05
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 15:10
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 22:35
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 12:20
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 23:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:40
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 12:19
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 12:19
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 23:19
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 23:24
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 23:40
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 23:40
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.63%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.10%E -2.63%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.63%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.99%E -2.68%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 20:45
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.63%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.99%E -2.68%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:38
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.01%E -3.27%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 23:29
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 21:59
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.54%E -4.17%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.01%E -3.27%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 20:45
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.06%E -4.48%K -10.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 23:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.48%E -2.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 23:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 15:05
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 15:05
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 15:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 19:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-04-20 23:39
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-04-20 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-20 23:40
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13%0.8%2026-04-20 23:35
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-20 23:35
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-20 23:40
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-04-20 23:39
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-04-20 23:35