Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Athletics

Início: 2026-08-17 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 9–5 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 62.49%1.60odd justa
EV -0.017%
Vantagem -0.011%
Kelly -0.029%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.74%62.12%62.50%63.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.29%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 37.51%2.67odd justa
EV +0.529%
Vantagem +0.197%
Kelly +0.315%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.64%37.88%37.50%40.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.542.552.6843.48%39.37%39.22%37.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 62.49%; Athletics (Visitante): 37.51%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.67. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.68, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.529%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%EV +0.529%E +0.197%K +0.315%G +0.002%1.8%2026-08-17 23:39
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV +0.154%E +0.058%K +0.092%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 03:15
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%EV -0.221%E -0.083%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-17 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -1.89%E -1.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.596%E -0.225%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-17 15:24
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -0.596%E -0.225%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-17 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.971%E -0.368%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.971%E -0.368%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 23:39
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.35%E -0.512%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 22:39
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -1.72%E -0.657%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-17 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.72%E -0.657%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 14:49
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 19:16
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 22:54
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 16:04
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 23:39
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.47%E -0.951%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:38
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -2.85%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -2.85%E -1.10%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 03:10
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.22%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 23:14
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.27%E -0.802%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-17 23:20
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.60%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 19:54
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:14
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:19
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:14
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:19
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 13:54
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 15:05
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 22:54
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.35%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -5.47%E -2.17%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 18:24
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 23:38
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 21:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 22:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 23:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.97%E -2.81%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 15:45
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.10%E -3.31%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.10%E -3.31%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.10%E -3.31%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.89%E -4.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -8.47%E -3.47%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.017%E -0.011%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -9.97%E -4.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.97%E -4.16%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 22:59
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.89%E -1.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.85%E -5.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.85%E -5.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 23:40
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.73%E -5.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.73%E -5.97%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 23:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-17 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-17 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-17 23:40
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-17 23:40
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-17 19:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-17 13:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-17 23:40
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-08-17 23:40
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-08-17 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%2.9%2026-08-17 23:39