Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Athletics

Início: 2026-08-19 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 9–7 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 62.60%1.60odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.693%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.80%62.70%62.50%65.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.31%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 37.40%2.67odd justa
EV +5.85%
Vantagem +2.07%
Kelly +3.20%
Crescimento +0.187%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.19%37.30%37.50%40.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.532.512.8342.55%39.48%39.84%35.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 62.60%; Athletics (Visitante): 37.40%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.67. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -7.98%E -5.43%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +5.85%E +2.07%K +3.20%G +0.187%3.4%2026-08-19 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV +0.985%E +0.365%K +0.579%G +0.006%1.1%2026-08-19 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV +0.237%E +0.088%K +0.141%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-19 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV +0.237%E +0.088%K +0.141%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-19 23:35
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -0.511%E -0.192%K -0.308%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 23:30
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -0.885%E -0.334%K -0.537%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-19 21:34
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.885%E -0.334%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.885%E -0.334%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.63%E -0.621%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV -2.01%E -0.766%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 22:40
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.38%E -0.912%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 23:24
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.76%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 23:26
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.76%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.76%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 21:05
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.48%E -3.63%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.76%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 22:35
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.50%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-19 21:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.88%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:38
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.97%E -1.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.97%E -1.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.85%E -3.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:34
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.48%E -3.63%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 23:40
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.48%E -3.63%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 23:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.63%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.85%E -3.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.37%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.85%E -3.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.37%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 23:38
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.75%E -2.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:35
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.97%E -1.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 21:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.97%E -1.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.97%E -1.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 22:35
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.97%E -1.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.97%E -1.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 23:40
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 22:35
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 21:10
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.85%E -3.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.48%E -3.63%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 23:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.50%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 21:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.85%E -3.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.85%E -3.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.24%E -2.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.37%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 22:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.37%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.85%E -3.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.37%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.48%E -3.63%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.37%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 23:40
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.37%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 23:34
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.37%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.37%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.73%E -4.52%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.37%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -7.35%E -4.97%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.11%E -3.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.09%E -0.693%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -10.24%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 23:40
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.09%E -0.693%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -10.24%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.24%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -1.09%E -0.693%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -12.11%E -5.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-19 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-19 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-19 21:40
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-08-19 23:10
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-19 22:10
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-08-19 23:40
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-19 23:10
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-08-19 23:40
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%3.0%2026-08-19 23:40