Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-09-08 23:40 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 50.65%1.97odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.635%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%50.64%50.66%52.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.901.901.9554.64%52.74%52.63%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 49.35%2.03odd justa
EV +1.17%
Vantagem +0.572%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.70%49.36%49.34%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.921.922.0554.95%52.01%52.08%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.65%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 49.35%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.03. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +1.17%E +0.572%K +1.12%G +0.013%2.3%2026-09-08 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.307%E -0.152%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 23:04
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.801%E -0.398%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 23:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.29%E -0.647%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.29%E -0.647%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 23:34
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.29%E -0.647%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 23:34
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.74%E -0.899%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.28%E -1.15%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-08 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.77%E -1.41%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -3.27%E -1.67%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 22:54
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.24%E -0.635%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 23:34
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 23:34
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 23:19
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 23:04
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:04
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:04
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.26%E -2.19%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.26%E -2.19%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.26%E -2.19%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:34
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.24%E -0.635%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.24%E -0.635%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.28%E -2.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:12
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:39
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.80%E -3.12%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.24%E -2.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 23:39
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 22:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 22:44
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 22:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.28%E -2.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.28%E -2.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:39
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.12%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 23:38
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.81%E -3.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.72%E -3.56%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.72%E -3.56%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:04
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:04
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.25%E -1.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.32%E -4.00%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 22:15
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.24%E -0.635%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:14
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -10.18%E -5.59%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 23:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-08 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-08 23:40
ProphetX◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-09-08 23:39
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-08 22:15
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-09-08 23:40
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-08 23:39
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%2.8%2026-09-08 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%4.2%2026-09-08 23:24