Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-08-01 00:16 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 11–2 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 54.14%1.85odd justa
EV -0.922%
Vantagem -0.504%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%54.03%54.17%55.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.68%56.82%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 45.86%2.18odd justa
EV -0.027%
Vantagem -0.013%
Kelly -0.023%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.90%45.97%45.83%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.082.102.1851.28%48.06%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 54.14%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 45.86%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.181. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.180, com valor esperado de -0.027%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.922%E -0.504%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-31 20:35
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.922%E -0.504%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.46%E -0.804%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 15:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.46%E -0.804%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -9.20%E -4.65%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 20:34
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.55%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.40%E -0.653%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.55%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.40%E -0.653%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 15:54
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.55%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.40%E -0.653%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 12:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.55%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 21:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 00:15
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.09%E -1.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.944%E -0.437%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.870%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.09%E -1.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.86%E -0.870%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 00:14
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 00:14
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.86%E -0.870%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-31 21:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.86%E -0.870%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-31 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 22:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.15%E -1.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 00:15
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 18:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 10:53
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 11:15
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 20:24
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 00:14
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 15:24
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:14
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -0.944%E -0.437%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 21:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 21:14
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.15%E -1.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:10
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 22:09
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 22:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 19:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.53%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 11:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 21:14
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 21:14
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 21:14
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 21:14
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 00:04
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 21:49
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 00:04
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 00:03
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.79%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 11:14
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 11:14
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 11:14
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 22:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.82%E -3.89%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 23:48
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 21:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-08-01 00:15
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-08-01 00:14
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-01 00:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-08-01 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-01 00:14
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-31 22:10
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-31 05:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-31 23:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-08-01 00:05
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-08-01 00:15