Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-08-02 18:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 7–3 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 55.70%1.80odd justa
EV +0.265%
Vantagem +0.147%
Kelly +0.332%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.48%55.50%55.70%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.06%58.14%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 44.30%2.26odd justa
EV -0.332%
Vantagem -0.147%
Kelly -0.265%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.50%44.30%46.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.61%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 55.70%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 44.30%. Para Houston Astros (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.795. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.800, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.265%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV +0.265%E +0.147%K +0.332%G +0.001%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.849%E -0.477%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.86%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.41%E -0.794%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 18:04
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.32%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.52%E -1.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.22%E -0.546%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 18:00
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.52%E -1.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.10%E -0.952%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.52%E -1.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.20%E -2.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.52%E -1.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.20%E -2.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.52%E -1.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 15:14
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.52%E -1.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.52%E -1.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:03
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.332%E -0.147%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.332%E -0.147%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 18:09
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.332%E -0.147%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.66%E -0.748%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.66%E -0.748%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 17:44
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 12:35
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 16:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 16:30
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -7.42%E -3.55%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:29
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.08%E -1.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.63%E -2.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.63%E -2.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:34
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.63%E -2.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.63%E -2.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.19%E -2.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 16:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.19%E -2.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 16:40
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.19%E -2.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.19%E -2.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.19%E -2.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.19%E -2.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 13:55
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.88%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:55
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:39
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:49
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.20%E -2.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 18:04
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -8.31%E -4.01%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 18:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.30%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.30%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 16:39
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.30%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.30%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.43%E -1.57%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.30%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.30%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.30%E -3.12%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:04
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.66%E -0.748%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.43%E -1.57%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:40
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.32%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.32%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 18:05
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 18:04
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.86%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -10.52%E -5.21%K -10.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.09%E -4.90%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-08-02 18:05
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-02 18:04
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-02 18:10
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 17:05
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 14:45
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-02 18:10
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%6.7%2026-08-02 18:10