La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

Inizio: 2026-05-16 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 2–0 Texas Rangers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 49.23%2.03quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -0.772%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.35%49.25%49.27%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.931.932.0054.05%51.89%51.81%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Texas Rangers (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.77%1.97quota equa
EV -0.995%
Vantaggio -0.510%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%50.75%50.73%51.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.881.871.9556.82%53.28%53.48%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.54%E -0.772%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.03%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:00
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.54%E -0.772%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.03%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 00:00
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.50%E -0.774%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 21:55
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 22:00
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 21:59
Everygame1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.53%E -1.28%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 22:19
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.02%E -1.53%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.995%E -0.510%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 23:05
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.51%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 21:30
MyBookie.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.51%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 21:39
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.51%E -1.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 00:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.53%E -1.86%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 23:55
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 00:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 22:00
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:35
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:29
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:34
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:55
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 00:10
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 00:10
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 23:20
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 00:10
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 21:35
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.50%E -2.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:55
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.04%E -2.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 21:44
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:55
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:34
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.99%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.48%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.53%E -1.86%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 21:45
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.48%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:55
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.48%E -2.86%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.03%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 20:05
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.04%E -2.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:00
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 00:10
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 23:20
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 00:10
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 00:09
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 21:35
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 21:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 23:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.97%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 21:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.40%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.86%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.47%E -3.40%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 23:45
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.47%E -3.40%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 00:01
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.45%E -3.96%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 00:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -7.45%E -3.96%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.45%E -3.96%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.56%E -2.99%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 00:10
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.45%E -3.96%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.56%E -2.99%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 00:10
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.45%E -3.96%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 00:10
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.45%E -3.96%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -7.45%E -3.96%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.64%E -6.05%K -14.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 00:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.94%E -4.25%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 00:10
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.93%E -4.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-14 23:15
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-15 23:55
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-16 00:10
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-05-16 00:09
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-05-16 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-05-16 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-05-16 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-05-16 00:10
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.8%2026-05-16 00:05
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-05-16 00:10