La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v St. Louis Cardinals

Inizio: 2026-04-18 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 4–9 St. Louis Cardinals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 53.39%1.87quota equa
EV -0.690%
Vantaggio -0.371%
Kelly -0.802%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.59%53.31%53.26%55.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.781.771.8657.80%56.31%56.50%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.61%2.15quota equa
EV +0.206%
Vantaggio +0.096%
Kelly +0.179%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.87%46.69%46.74%48.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.062.062.1553.19%48.57%48.54%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV +0.206%E +0.096%K +0.179%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 22:49
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.726%E -0.341%K -0.643%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-17 22:15
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.66%E -0.786%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:25
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 20:10
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 20:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 21:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:40
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 22:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 22:10
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 22:10
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 21:20
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 21:20
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 22:10
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 22:10
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 22:10
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 22:10
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 21:20
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 22:10
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 22:10
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 00:00
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 00:00
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.690%E -0.371%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 00:09
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 20:05
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:35
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 22:14
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.50%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.690%E -0.371%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 00:10
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.690%E -0.371%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 00:10
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:05
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 21:15
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 23:30
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 00:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:05
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 00:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 22:15
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 00:09
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:30
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.50%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 00:05
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 21:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 00:09
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 23:30
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 23:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 23:30
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 23:30
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:05
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.39%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.50%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 23:55
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 00:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.12%E -4.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 00:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.12%E -4.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -12.38%E -6.58%K -14.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-04-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-04-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-04-18 00:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-04-17 23:55
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-17 22:15
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-18 00:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-17 23:10
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-18 00:10
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%2.7%2026-04-17 23:40
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%2.9%2026-04-18 00:10