La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Minnesota Twins

Inizio: 2026-06-30 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 4–5 Minnesota Twins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 55.61%1.80quota equa
EV +0.092%
Vantaggio +0.051%
Kelly +0.115%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.09%55.58%55.70%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.96%57.97%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.39%2.25quota equa
EV +0.329%
Vantaggio +0.145%
Kelly +0.261%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.86%44.42%44.30%45.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.142.152.2648.78%46.69%46.51%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.329%E +0.145%K +0.261%G +0.001%1.7%2026-06-30 00:09
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.115%E -0.051%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-29 23:29
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.115%E -0.051%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-29 23:59
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.559%E -0.250%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-29 23:59
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-29 23:29
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.45%E -0.652%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 23:29
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.89%E -0.856%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 00:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 00:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 14:40
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.78%E -1.27%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 23:29
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.78%E -1.27%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 00:06
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 20:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:38
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 16:30
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +0.092%E +0.051%K +0.115%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-29 20:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 20:50
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 18:19
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 20:50
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:29
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:29
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 20:30
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 23:40
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 23:59
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 23:59
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 00:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.14%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 21:50
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.02%E -0.573%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-29 23:40
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.00%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.13%E -1.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.13%E -1.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 00:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 13:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 23:39
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.89%E -2.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 23:50
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 23:39
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 23:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 23:40
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 23:40
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 23:39
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 03:19
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 23:49
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 20:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.77%E -3.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 23:59
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 23:40
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 23:40
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 23:39
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -8.11%E -3.92%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 23:48
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -8.55%E -4.15%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 23:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 00:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 00:07
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-30 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-30 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-30 00:10
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-06-29 23:50
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-30 00:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-30 00:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-30 00:00
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-06-30 00:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-06-30 00:09
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-06-30 00:09