Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-05-31 18:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 0–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 36.56%2.74momio equitativo
EV +0.537%
Ventaja +0.195%
Kelly +0.307%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.83%36.57%36.59%37.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.622.652.7540.00%38.10%37.74%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 63.44%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%63.43%63.41%65.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.74%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Houston Astros (Local): 36.56%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 63.44%. Para Houston Astros (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.537%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.537%E +0.195%K +0.307%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 17:39
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.537%E +0.195%K +0.307%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 14:00
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.537%E +0.195%K +0.307%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.29%E -0.478%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.30%E -1.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-31 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.29%E -0.478%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.29%E -0.478%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.66%E -0.616%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.66%E -0.616%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.02%E -0.754%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 13:00
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.39%E -0.894%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.67%E -1.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-31 11:39
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 18:10
Bovada🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 18:09
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:00
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.30%E -1.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-31 17:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-31 16:10
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.20%E -2.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 15:49
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.20%E -2.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 15:50
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 17:20
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 17:20
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 17:20
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 17:20
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 18:10
888sport🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.85%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 15:49
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.22%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.22%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.22%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.65%E -6.00%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 15:50
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.20%E -2.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 18:00
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 07:19
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 17:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.95%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.74%E -4.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -5.31%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.31%E -2.05%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 11:39
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.68%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:39
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.04%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.20%E -2.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.04%E -2.35%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.20%E -2.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:39
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:39
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:50
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 18:09
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.77%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.65%E -6.00%K -19.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 18:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.60%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-31 18:08
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-31 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-31 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-05-31 18:10
ProphetX2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-05-31 18:10
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-31 17:30
BetOpenly2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%1.8%2026-05-31 18:00
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-05-31 18:10
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.8%2026-05-31 18:10