Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-08-19 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 1–3 Los Angeles Angels

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 60.30%1.66odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.680%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.82%60.19%60.32%61.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.581.581.6465.36%63.11%63.29%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 39.70%2.52odd justa
EV +0.055%
Vantagem +0.022%
Kelly +0.036%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.90%39.81%39.68%41.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.412.402.5244.44%41.52%41.67%39.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 60.30%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 39.70%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.519. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.520, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.055%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%EV +0.055%E +0.022%K +0.036%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-18 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.342%E -0.136%K -0.227%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.739%E -0.296%K -0.493%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-18 03:34
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.739%E -0.296%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 23:45
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.739%E -0.296%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.14%E -0.456%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.14%E -0.456%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.53%E -0.618%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:10
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -1.11%E -0.680%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.93%E -0.782%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-18 15:39
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.93%E -0.782%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 22:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.72%E -1.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.33%E -0.946%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 00:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.33%E -0.946%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-18 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-18 23:10
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 05:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 23:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 23:50
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.31%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 22:10
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 00:09
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 03:53
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 02:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 02:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:24
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:25
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:25
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:25
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 05:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.75%E -5.06%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 22:10
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.90%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:10
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.90%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.30%E -2.67%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 00:09
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 23:55
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.75%E -5.06%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 23:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.73%E -3.00%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 23:58
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 23:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 00:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-19 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-19 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-19 00:10
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-19 00:10
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-19 00:10
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-18 01:00
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-08-19 00:10
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%1.4%2026-08-19 00:09
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-08-19 00:05
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%3.4%2026-08-19 00:10