L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Detroit Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 00:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 4–2 Detroit Tigers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 60.48%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.873%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.82%60.44%60.50%62.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.581.571.6365.36%63.48%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.52%2.53cote équitable
EV +0.783%
Avantage +0.307%
Kelly +0.505%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.65%39.56%39.50%41.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.422.432.5543.48%41.28%41.15%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.783%E +0.307%K +0.505%G +0.004%4.2%2026-06-16 17:00
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.798%E -0.318%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 00:00
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.19%E -0.477%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 22:40
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.98%E -0.800%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 00:09
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.98%E -0.800%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 23:10
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.98%E -0.800%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 23:40
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.98%E -0.800%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 20:50
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.38%E -0.963%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 00:10
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.38%E -0.963%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -2.38%E -0.963%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 22:29
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.42%E -0.873%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.77%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 23:40
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.77%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-17 00:10
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 00:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 00:09
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 00:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 23:40
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 23:40
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 00:10
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.84%E -2.42%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:27
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:40
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:40
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:50
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:50
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:50
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:50
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:50
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:50
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 23:40
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.84%E -2.42%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.75%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 00:09
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.75%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 23:40
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.84%E -2.42%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.45%E -2.81%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 00:09
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 00:00
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 22:20
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.15%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.94%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 00:10
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.45%E -2.81%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.94%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.05%E -3.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.94%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 22:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.94%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 23:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.45%E -2.81%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.33%E -2.67%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 22:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.45%E -2.81%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.33%E -2.67%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 23:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.24%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.45%E -2.81%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 00:10
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 00:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 61.00%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.00%0.6%2026-06-17 00:08
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 00:00
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-17 00:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-17 00:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-17 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-17 00:10
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-06-17 00:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-06-17 00:00
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-06-17 00:00