Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-06-21 18:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–1 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 54.57%1.83odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.990%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.05%54.64%54.55%55.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.48%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 45.43%2.20odd justa
EV -0.045%
Vantagem -0.020%
Kelly -0.037%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.02%45.36%45.45%45.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.032.122.102.2049.26%47.21%47.51%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 54.57%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 45.43%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.201. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.200, com valor esperado de -0.045%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.78%E -0.990%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 17:19
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.33%E -1.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.954%E -0.437%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-21 17:59
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.33%E -1.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.86%E -0.862%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.33%E -1.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-21 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.33%E -1.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-21 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.33%E -1.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-21 17:29
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.87%E -1.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.954%E -0.437%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 17:39
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.87%E -1.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.41%E -0.649%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 18:39
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 18:09
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 17:18
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.04%E -2.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 17:29
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 17:29
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 01:59
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.68%E -1.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 18:09
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.68%E -1.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 18:09
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:59
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:59
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:19
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 06:19
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.50%E -2.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 05:59
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 20:39
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 17:19
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.86%E -3.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.86%E -3.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 18:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.86%E -3.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -0.045%E -0.020%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-21 15:39
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.13%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.13%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 17:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.86%E -3.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 17:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.86%E -3.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.86%E -3.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.15%E -3.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.954%E -0.437%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.15%E -3.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.954%E -0.437%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.15%E -3.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.86%E -3.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 18:10
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.41%E -0.649%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 16:39
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.41%E -0.649%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.41%E -0.649%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.41%E -0.649%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 16:39
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.41%E -0.649%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.41%E -0.649%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.41%E -0.649%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 16:39
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 16:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.86%E -3.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 17:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.77%E -3.83%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 18:08
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -8.87%E -5.31%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -3.68%E -1.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 15:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-21 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-21 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-21 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-21 18:10
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-21 18:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-21 18:10
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-06-21 18:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-06-21 18:10
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-06-21 17:19
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-06-21 18:09