La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Cleveland Guardians

Inizio: 2026-06-20 23:16 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 1–8 Cleveland Guardians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 58.17%1.72quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -1.000%
Kelly -2.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%58.19%58.21%59.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.651.651.6962.50%60.75%60.61%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.83%2.39quota equa
EV -0.449%
Vantaggio -0.189%
Kelly -0.325%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.95%41.81%41.79%43.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.282.282.3845.45%43.87%43.86%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.69%E -1.000%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-20 18:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.69%E -1.000%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-20 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-20 22:50
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-20 22:50
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 18:40
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -0.449%E -0.189%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-20 23:10
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.867%E -0.366%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-20 23:09
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.12%E -0.907%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-20 22:59
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.12%E -0.907%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-20 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 18:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 11:09
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:39
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 23:08
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 22:29
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 22:39
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 23:09
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 18:55
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 23:09
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 23:09
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 23:09
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 23:09
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 23:09
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 23:09
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 23:09
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 23:09
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 18:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 18:30
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:20
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:29
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:29
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 22:40
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 23:09
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 22:50
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:49
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.47%E -2.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 21:20
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 23:09
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 23:09
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 23:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.70%E -0.725%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 23:10
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 23:09
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.21%E -1.84%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 22:39
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 23:10
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 22:39
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 23:09
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 23:09
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.72%E -3.01%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.80%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 18:49
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 20:50
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 23:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-06-20 23:10
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-06-20 23:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-06-20 23:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-20 19:00
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-06-20 23:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-06-20 23:09
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%2.4%2026-06-20 23:10