Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-09-03 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–0 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 56.32%1.78odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.820%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%56.26%56.33%57.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.691.701.75100.00%59.10%58.82%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 43.68%2.29odd justa
EV +0.458%
Vantagem +0.199%
Kelly +0.352%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.64%43.74%43.67%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.002.152.162.30100.00%46.47%46.30%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 56.32%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 43.68%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.29. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.458%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.458%E +0.199%K +0.352%G +0.002%2.0%2026-09-02 23:00
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.853%E -0.376%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 22:25
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.853%E -0.376%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-03 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.00%E -1.15%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.29%E -0.571%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-03 00:09
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.29%E -0.571%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 00:10
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.16%E -0.966%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.16%E -0.966%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.16%E -0.966%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 22:25
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.44%E -0.820%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-02 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 00:05
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 18:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 00:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 10:05
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:20
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 21:05
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.81%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 21:45
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:44
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:24
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.07%E -4.28%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.81%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:15
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.81%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 20:34
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.22%E -2.41%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.66%E -2.62%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.66%E -2.62%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.66%E -2.62%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.66%E -2.62%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:14
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.81%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.66%E -2.62%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.81%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.66%E -2.62%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 23:14
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 23:14
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 23:14
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 23:15
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 23:14
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:15
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 13:10
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.44%E -0.820%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.53%E -3.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.53%E -3.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.40%E -3.49%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.40%E -3.49%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.07%E -4.28%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.84%E -3.72%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 00:08
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.44%E -0.820%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.12%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 00:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.07%E -4.28%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.88%E -6.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -9.15%E -4.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -6.50%E -3.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -9.59%E -4.63%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 23:14
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.46%E -5.10%K -9.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -43.68%E -43.68%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -56.32%E -56.32%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-09-03 00:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-02 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-02 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-02 23:30
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-03 00:09
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-09-03 00:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-02 17:45
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-02 20:10
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-03 00:05
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-09-03 00:10
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-09-03 00:10