Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-09-05 23:16 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 49.70%2.01odd justa
EV +0.389%
Vantagem +0.192%
Kelly +0.381%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.34%49.64%49.60%50.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.921.922.0254.95%52.10%52.08%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 50.30%1.99odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -0.979%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.33%50.36%50.40%51.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.901.901.9554.64%52.77%52.63%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 49.70%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 50.30%. Para Houston Astros (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.01. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.02, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.389%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.389%E +0.192%K +0.381%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-05 23:03
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.605%E -0.303%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.10%E -0.554%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.60%E -0.808%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.60%E -0.808%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.60%E -0.808%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.60%E -0.808%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.60%E -0.808%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -1.60%E -0.808%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.10%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.91%E -0.979%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.59%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:04
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.59%E -1.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.59%E -1.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.59%E -1.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.08%E -2.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.91%E -0.979%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.91%E -0.979%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:15
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:15
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:15
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:15
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.95%E -4.34%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:08
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%0.1%2026-09-05 23:14
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-05 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-09-05 23:15
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-09-05 23:15
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-09-05 23:05