La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-05-17 17:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 1–4 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 48.00%2.08momio equitativo
EV +0.799%
Ventaja +0.380%
Kelly +0.726%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%47.92%48.03%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.002.002.1053.19%50.02%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 52.00%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.679%
Ventaja -0.356%
Kelly -0.746%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.08%51.97%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.831.831.9158.48%54.64%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.799%E +0.380%K +0.726%G +0.006%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.96%E -4.50%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.799%E +0.380%K +0.726%G +0.006%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.04%E -5.80%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:35
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.799%E +0.380%K +0.726%G +0.006%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.04%E -5.80%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:45
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.60%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.24%E -1.19%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.60%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.00%E -5.14%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 06:05
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.60%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.52%E -5.47%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -1.60%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.08%E -6.48%K -15.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 17:29
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.08%E -1.02%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.72%E -0.910%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 17:39
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.08%E -1.02%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 16:30
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.04%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.72%E -0.910%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.04%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.72%E -0.910%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:40
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.04%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.72%E -0.910%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.04%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.04%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 16:30
BetAnything2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.52%E -1.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.20%E -0.631%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:39
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.52%E -1.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 17:34
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.679%E -0.356%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.679%E -0.356%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:19
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:40
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:29
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:30
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:30
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:30
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:30
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:30
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.88%E -3.25%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:30
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.88%E -3.25%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.88%E -3.25%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:30
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.88%E -3.25%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.00%E -2.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.96%E -2.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.96%E -2.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.96%E -2.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.96%E -2.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:25
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.96%E -2.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:20
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.96%E -2.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.96%E -2.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:35
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.96%E -2.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.96%E -2.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.92%E -3.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.24%E -1.19%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 17:38
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.92%E -3.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.92%E -3.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.76%E -1.48%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.76%E -1.48%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:39
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.80%E -2.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.40%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 17:29
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.32%E -4.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 17:25
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.76%E -5.19%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.19%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:30
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-17 17:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-05-17 17:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%3.3%2026-05-17 17:35