Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-05-03 23:21 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 7–1 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 52.43%1.91odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.761%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%52.51%52.47%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.821.811.8857.14%55.07%55.25%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 47.57%2.10odd justa
EV -0.104%
Vantagem -0.050%
Kelly -0.095%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%47.49%47.53%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.022.022.1052.36%49.53%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 52.43%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 47.57%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.102. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.100, com valor esperado de -0.104%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.43%E -0.761%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-03 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.43%E -0.761%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-03 23:15
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.43%E -0.761%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%EV -1.95%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%EV -1.53%E -0.740%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-03 23:00
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.95%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 23:15
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 23:15
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.95%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.14%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 23:15
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 21:10
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.104%E -0.050%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 23:05
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.104%E -0.050%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 23:15
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:15
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:15
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:15
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 21:10
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 21:10
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.58%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.06%E -0.507%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 20:30
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.58%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 22:50
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.58%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.58%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 22:30
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.58%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.58%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.01%E -0.974%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.01%E -0.974%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 20:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.01%E -0.974%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 15:05
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 20:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 22:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 03:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.81%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 22:48
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.15%E -3.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:20
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.15%E -3.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.15%E -3.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.15%E -3.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:20
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.15%E -3.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:20
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.15%E -3.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.15%E -3.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.15%E -3.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-05-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-05-03 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-05-03 23:15
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-05-03 23:15
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-03 22:50
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-05-03 23:15
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-03 23:15
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-03 22:15
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-05-03 23:15