La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-06-07 17:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–4 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 52.66%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.819%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%52.67%52.66%54.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.821.821.8756.82%55.08%54.95%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 47.34%2.11momio equitativo
EV +0.840%
Ventaja +0.394%
Kelly +0.743%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.94%47.33%47.34%48.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.022.002.1351.28%49.57%50.00%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.69%E -2.59%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.840%E +0.394%K +0.743%G +0.006%2.2%2026-06-07 17:39
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.581%E -0.276%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 17:39
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.58%E -1.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.05%E -0.504%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-07 17:30
Everygame1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.11%E -1.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.05%E -0.504%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-07 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.05%E -0.504%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 17:39
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.05%E -0.504%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 17:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.05%E -0.504%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-07 17:19
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.53%E -0.819%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.47%E -1.20%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 17:26
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.69%E -2.59%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.47%E -1.20%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-07 17:09
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 17:07
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 17:09
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:17
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:09
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 16:59
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.42%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-07 17:10
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.16%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.42%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 17:39
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.69%E -2.59%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.42%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -2.58%E -1.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.37%E -2.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-07 17:29
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.16%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.37%E -2.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 17:39
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.69%E -2.59%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.37%E -2.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 17:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.37%E -2.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:39
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.37%E -2.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:09
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.37%E -2.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 16:59
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.74%E -3.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.37%E -2.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:10
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.74%E -3.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.37%E -2.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:29
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:29
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:29
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:29
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:29
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:29
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:29
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.16%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.16%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 17:39
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.16%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 17:29
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.69%E -2.59%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 17:29
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 16:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 17:09
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 17:39
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 17:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 16:19
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.74%E -3.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.16%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 17:29
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.16%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 17:29
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.27%E -3.52%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-07 17:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.16%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.74%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 17:29
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.16%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.74%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.74%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.32%E -4.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-07 17:18
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 17:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-07 17:39
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-07 17:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-06-07 17:29
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-06-07 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-06-07 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-06-07 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-06-07 17:39
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-07 17:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-07 17:39
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-06-07 17:39
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-06-07 17:39
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-06-07 17:39