Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-09-07 19:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–4 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 52.50%1.90odd justa
EV -0.777%
Vantagem -0.411%
Kelly -0.873%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%52.64%52.49%55.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.801.801.8959.52%55.61%55.56%52.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 47.50%2.11odd justa
EV +1.65%
Vantagem +0.772%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.70%47.36%47.51%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.022.002.1452.63%49.62%50.00%46.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 52.50%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 47.50%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.11. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.14, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -9.18%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV +1.65%E +0.772%K +1.45%G +0.024%4.5%2026-09-07 19:00
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -0.248%E -0.118%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 19:10
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -0.248%E -0.118%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 19:10
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.88%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.20%E -0.576%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 18:30
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.88%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.20%E -0.576%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 18:26
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.20%E -0.576%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 19:10
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.35%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.67%E -0.808%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.88%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.67%E -0.808%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.88%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.67%E -0.808%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.67%E -0.808%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.67%E -0.808%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.67%E -0.808%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 19:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.67%E -0.808%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.67%E -0.808%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.67%E -0.808%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 19:10
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.35%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.15%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.88%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.13%E -4.64%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 19:10
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.10%E -1.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 19:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -0.777%E -0.411%K -0.873%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -3.57%E -1.76%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-07 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.05%E -2.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 19:10
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.45%E -2.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.05%E -2.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 19:08
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.05%E -2.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 19:08
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -10.75%E -6.32%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -4.05%E -2.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.40%E -1.85%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.52%E -2.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 19:04
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.45%E -2.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.52%E -2.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.52%E -2.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 15:19
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.88%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.88%E -1.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.45%E -2.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.45%E -2.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 14:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 14:05
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 19:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 19:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.13%E -4.64%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -11.80%E -7.02%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 19:10
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.95%E -3.00%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.95%E -3.00%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.95%E -3.00%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.95%E -3.00%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.42%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:59
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.93%E -2.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 19:05
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 19:03
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 19:00
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -8.32%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.30%E -0.693%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.80%E -4.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -9.75%E -5.13%K -10.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 19:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-09-07 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-09-07 18:50
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-09-07 19:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-07 14:25
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-07 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-09-07 19:10
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-09-07 19:10
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-09-07 19:10
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%2.7%2026-09-07 19:10
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%3.5%2026-09-07 19:09