Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-09-09 18:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 7–2 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 52.96%1.89odd justa
EV -0.973%
Vantagem -0.520%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%52.95%53.02%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.801.801.8758.14%55.63%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 47.04%2.13odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.575%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%47.05%46.98%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.032.042.1052.63%49.25%48.90%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 52.96%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 47.04%. Para Detroit Tigers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.89. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.87, com valor esperado de -0.973%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.973%E -0.520%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.973%E -0.520%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.973%E -0.520%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.03%E -1.10%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.68%E -0.803%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-09 16:55
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.03%E -1.10%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:40
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -2.56%E -1.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.56%E -1.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:15
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.21%E -0.575%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 16:05
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.21%E -0.575%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 16:02
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.68%E -0.803%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:15
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.62%E -1.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.15%E -2.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.15%E -2.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.50%E -2.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 16:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:05
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 14:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:00
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:00
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:00
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 16:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 17:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:19
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:19
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.21%E -2.91%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.74%E -3.22%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.74%E -3.22%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.74%E -3.22%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.03%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.74%E -3.22%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.80%E -3.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.80%E -3.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.80%E -3.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.56%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.91%E -2.96%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -7.86%E -4.52%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -10.62%E -5.59%K -11.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.92%E -5.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -7.32%E -3.72%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.90I 52.63%NM 53.09%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.91%-0.9%2026-09-09 17:09
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%-0.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-09-09 16:30
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-09 17:20
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-09-09 17:10
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-09-09 17:20