Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-09-08 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 2–3 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 54.92%1.82odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.632%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.25%54.90%54.94%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.38%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 45.08%2.22odd justa
EV -0.833%
Vantagem -0.379%
Kelly -0.694%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.10%45.06%46.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.22%47.17%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 54.92%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 45.08%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.22. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.20, com valor esperado de -0.833%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.14%E -0.632%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 22:04
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.14%E -0.632%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-08 20:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.14%E -0.632%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 19:04
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.69%E -0.942%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 19:25
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.28%E -0.586%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 20:44
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.833%E -0.379%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-08 14:10
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.73%E -0.796%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 19:04
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 19:05
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 20:25
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 20:24
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.69%E -3.23%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 19:09
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.69%E -3.23%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 21:55
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.69%E -3.23%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.73%E -0.796%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 14:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 19:44
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 19:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 14:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 20:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 19:13
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 19:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 20:15
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 16:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 21:45
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 19:08
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 19:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.79%E -2.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:05
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:45
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:45
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.44%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.44%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 19:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 14:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 17:24
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.44%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:50
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 19:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 22:10
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 21:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%0.5%2026-09-08 22:20
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-08 22:20
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-08 21:50
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-08 14:05
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-08 19:05
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-08 22:20
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-09-08 20:20