L’École des cotes

Detroit Tigers v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-26 22:41 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 8–0 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 50.59%1.98cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.961%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%50.59%50.53%52.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.901.9455.56%52.74%52.49%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.41%2.02cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.836%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.75%49.41%49.47%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.921.911.9954.05%52.09%52.36%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.86%E -0.961%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-26 22:09
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -1.86%E -0.961%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 21:39
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.66%E -0.836%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-26 21:50
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 22:39
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 22:40
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 20:09
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-26 21:50
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-26 21:59
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 21:39
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 22:39
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.88%E -1.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 21:39
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.88%E -1.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.88%E -1.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 21:40
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.88%E -1.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 21:39
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.88%E -1.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 21:39
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.88%E -1.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 21:39
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.88%E -1.50%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 21:39
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 22:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 15:59
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 22:36
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 21:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 22:39
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 22:38
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:40
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:39
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.10%E -3.78%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 21:39
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.10%E -3.78%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 21:39
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.38%E -1.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.59%E -4.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 13:59
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.12%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 22:39
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.12%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:29
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:40
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 13:59
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 22:39
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 22:30
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.12%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 22:39
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:39
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-26 22:40
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.63%E -2.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 22:39
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.12%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:39
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.12%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:49
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.90%E -2.61%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.58%E -4.64%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 21:39
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.41%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.64%E -1.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 10:10
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 22:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.41%E -2.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 22:40
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.91%E -3.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.91%E -3.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.12%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.91%E -3.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.12%E -2.67%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 22:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 14:59
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.42%E -3.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.92%E -3.76%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.11%E -3.22%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 22:39
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.43%E -4.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.62%E -2.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 20:19
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.94%E -4.36%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -6.61%E -3.50%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 22:38
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.95%E -4.97%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 09:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-06-26 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-26 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-26 22:40
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-26 16:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-06-26 22:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-06-26 22:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-26 22:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%2.1%2026-06-26 22:40
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-26 22:40
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%8.7%2026-06-26 22:40