Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-08-12 22:43 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 4–6 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 54.14%1.85odd justa
EV -0.932%
Vantagem -0.509%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%54.13%54.17%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.781.781.8358.82%56.28%56.18%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 45.86%2.18odd justa
EV -0.015%
Vantagem -0.007%
Kelly -0.013%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%45.87%45.83%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.072.052.1851.55%48.36%48.78%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 54.14%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 45.86%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.1803. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.1800, com valor esperado de -0.015%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.77%E -1.31%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 21:54
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.77%E -1.31%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.52%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -5.52%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 22:10
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.932%E -0.509%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:30
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.47%E -0.810%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.77%E -1.31%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 15:33
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -1.47%E -0.810%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -6.44%E -3.16%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -1.47%E -0.810%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -6.44%E -3.16%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 22:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.47%E -0.810%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 22:29
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%EV -0.933%E -0.432%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-12 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.85%E -0.864%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 21:15
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:09
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:10
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.01%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 20:54
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:19
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:09
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.10%E -1.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.933%E -0.432%K -0.804%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 22:24
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -3.10%E -1.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.31%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 22:34
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.015%E -0.007%K -0.013%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.933%E -0.432%K -0.804%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.933%E -0.432%K -0.804%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 21:05
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.06%E -2.44%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:09
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.90%E -3.40%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 22:14
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.90%E -3.40%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 21:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 21:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 20:05
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 21:04
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.52%E -2.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 21:25
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:30
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.72%E -2.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.60%E -2.21%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.72%E -2.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:29
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.60%E -2.21%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 21:15
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.60%E -2.21%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 21:04
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:24
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 21:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 21:04
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -11.02%E -5.68%K -11.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 22:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 21:14
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 22:12
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:28
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 19:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-08-12 22:30
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-12 22:10
ProphetX◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-08-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-08-12 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-08-12 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-08-12 22:35
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-08-12 22:35
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-12 20:55
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-12 12:10
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-08-12 22:35