La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-05-19 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 3–4 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 41.25%2.42momio equitativo
EV +0.233%
Ventaja +0.096%
Kelly +0.163%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%41.28%41.25%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.322.4347.62%43.10%43.10%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 58.75%1.70momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.949%
Kelly +2.25%
Crecimiento +0.037%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%58.72%58.75%60.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.621.7363.69%61.51%61.73%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.38%E -6.37%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.64%E +0.949%K +2.25%G +0.037%5.4%2026-05-19 22:19
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.72%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.122%E -0.072%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 16:29
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.42%E -0.593%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.47%E -1.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 22:19
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.00%E -0.419%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 19:40
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.83%E -0.769%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-19 22:38
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 22:19
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 22:19
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 19:40
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.60%E -3.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 16:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.25%E -4.21%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 22:39
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.233%E +0.096%K +0.163%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.65%E -2.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 22:39
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.592%E -0.246%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.65%E -2.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.592%E -0.246%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.65%E -2.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 22:39
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.00%E -0.419%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.65%E -2.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-19 22:09
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.65%E -2.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.25%E -4.21%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.65%E -2.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.89%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.23%E -2.60%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.89%E -1.67%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.23%E -2.60%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.23%E -2.60%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.37%E -2.80%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.23%E -2.60%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 22:09
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.37%E -2.80%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.23%E -2.60%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 22:09
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 22:39
MyBookie.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:37
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 15:28
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 20:40
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 22:39
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 22:39
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 22:39
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 22:39
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 22:39
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 22:39
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 20:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 20:40
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 20:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 20:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 22:29
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 20:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.19%E -3.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 22:39
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.19%E -3.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.82%E -2.98%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 22:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.24%E -0.946%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.24%E -0.946%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.24%E -0.946%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 15:30
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 22:39
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 22:39
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.19%E -3.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.41%E -3.36%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:29
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.00%E -3.75%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.00%E -3.75%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 15:30
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.19%E -3.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.00%E -3.75%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 22:19
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.00%E -0.419%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.58%E -4.14%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 15:30
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.00%E -0.419%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.76%E -4.94%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 17:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.13%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.76%E -4.94%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 22:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-05-19 22:19
BetOpenly2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-19 15:30
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-19 20:10
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-19 22:39
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-19 22:39
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-05-19 22:39
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-05-19 22:39