A Escola das Odds

Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-05-18 23:21 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 2–8 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 57.15%1.75odd justa
EV -0.552%
Vantagem -0.317%
Kelly -0.746%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%57.20%57.14%59.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.671.661.7461.73%59.89%60.24%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 42.85%2.33odd justa
EV +0.260%
Vantagem +0.111%
Kelly +0.194%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.91%42.80%42.86%44.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.242.252.3446.51%44.60%44.44%42.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV +0.260%E +0.111%K +0.194%G +0.001%4.5%2026-05-18 19:20
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -0.597%E -0.257%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 21:00
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.45%E -0.632%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-18 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 21:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:25
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:24
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:25
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:25
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:25
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:25
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:25
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.12%E -0.650%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 22:30
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-18 22:01
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 03:05
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 23:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 21:30
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 21:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 02:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 02:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 02:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:40
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 23:19
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 23:20
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 22:10
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.82%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:05
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.82%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 20:25
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.82%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 20:25
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.82%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.82%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 20:25
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.552%E -0.317%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.12%E -0.650%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:30
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.12%E -0.650%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:30
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.12%E -0.650%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:30
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 21:35
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 21:40
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 21:35
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 21:35
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 21:35
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 22:35
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -7.02%E -3.24%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 22:44
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:20
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.88%E -3.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 23:20
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.88%E -3.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 22:45
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.88%E -3.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-18 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-18 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-18 23:20
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-18 23:20
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-05-18 23:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-05-18 23:19
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-05-18 23:20
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-18 23:19
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%7.4%2026-05-18 23:20