Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-08-15 17:10 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 3–4 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 57.16%1.75odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.642%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%57.13%57.33%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.681.681.7362.50%59.59%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 42.84%2.33odd justa
EV +1.53%
Vantagem +0.645%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.87%42.67%44.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.202.3747.62%44.99%45.45%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 57.16%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 42.84%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.33. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.37, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.53%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV +1.53%E +0.645%K +1.12%G +0.017%1.7%2026-08-15 17:09
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.40%E -2.01%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.672%E +0.286%K +0.498%G +0.003%1.7%2026-08-15 17:03
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.672%E +0.286%K +0.498%G +0.003%2.1%2026-08-15 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.185%E -0.079%K -0.139%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.185%E -0.079%K -0.139%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 17:04
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.614%E -0.264%K -0.465%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 17:04
theScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.04%E -0.451%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 17:04
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.47%E -0.639%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.47%E -0.639%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 17:04
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.47%E -0.639%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 17:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.47%E -0.639%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 17:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.54%E -5.34%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.47%E -0.639%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.68%E -0.979%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.33%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 16:44
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.11%E -0.642%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 17:09
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 17:04
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:54
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:04
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.90%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 17:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 15:15
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:34
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:34
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:34
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:34
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:34
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:44
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:04
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.26%E -3.81%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.40%E -4.57%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.68%E -0.979%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 17:09
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:09
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.68%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.68%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.40%E -2.01%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.04%E -3.24%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -7.04%E -3.24%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -3.40%E -2.01%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -7.47%E -3.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.90%E -3.67%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:09
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.90%E -3.67%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.90%E -3.67%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:29
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.40%E -2.01%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.90%E -3.67%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:08
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.40%E -4.57%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.32%E -3.89%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.04%E -4.78%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.04%E -4.78%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.04%E -4.78%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 57.49%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.51%-1.2%2026-08-15 17:09
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-15 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-15 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-15 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-15 17:09
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-15 17:09
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-15 16:40
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-15 16:44
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-08-15 17:09