Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-08-16 17:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–7 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 51.80%1.93odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.552%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%51.87%51.92%53.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.831.831.9158.14%54.66%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 48.20%2.07odd justa
EV +1.21%
Vantagem +0.577%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.29%48.13%48.08%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.002.002.1052.63%49.96%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 51.80%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 48.20%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.07. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.21%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -6.23%E -3.44%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +1.21%E +0.577%K +1.10%G +0.013%2.9%2026-08-16 17:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -6.23%E -3.44%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +1.21%E +0.577%K +1.10%G +0.013%2.9%2026-08-16 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -6.23%E -3.44%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV +0.247%E +0.119%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.3%2026-08-16 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.27%E -4.06%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.235%E -0.113%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.27%E -4.06%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.235%E -0.113%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 17:24
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.64%E -1.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.717%E -0.348%K -0.676%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.717%E -0.348%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:24
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.717%E -0.348%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:24
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.717%E -0.348%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.717%E -0.348%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:25
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.717%E -0.348%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:24
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.79%E -4.38%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.717%E -0.348%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:25
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.13%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.20%E -0.585%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 15:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.13%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.20%E -0.585%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.31%E -4.69%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.20%E -0.585%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.68%E -0.824%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-16 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-16 15:04
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-16 15:04
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.64%E -1.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 17:30
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.57%E -0.827%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.64%E -1.31%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.13%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.64%E -1.31%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 15:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.64%E -1.31%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.82%E -5.01%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -2.64%E -1.31%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.82%E -5.01%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -2.64%E -1.31%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 15:49
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.05%E -0.552%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:40
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.13%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.16%E -2.25%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:35
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:29
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.72%E -3.14%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 15:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.61%E -1.80%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.64%E -1.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.09%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 17:29
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.68%E -2.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.09%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.72%E -3.14%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.09%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.72%E -3.14%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.09%E -2.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.57%E -2.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.57%E -2.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:30
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.57%E -2.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.57%E -2.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.57%E -2.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.57%E -2.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:19
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -10.90%E -6.34%K -15.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.72%E -3.14%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.54%E -2.82%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:29
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.57%E -0.827%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.13%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.13%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 16:15
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.16%E -2.25%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:35
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 17:39
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.20%E -2.84%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.75%E -3.75%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.02%E -3.09%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.64%E -1.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.50%E -3.35%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.68%E -2.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.46%E -3.89%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.27%E -4.06%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.46%E -3.89%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 17:28
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.13%E -1.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.95%E -4.16%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:55
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.16%E -2.25%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.43%E -4.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:28
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.16%E -2.25%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.43%E -4.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-08-16 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-16 15:05
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-16 15:45
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-16 17:40
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-16 17:40
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-16 17:40
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-16 15:49