L’École des cotes

Detroit Tigers v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 22:41 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 3–10 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 57.78%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.59%57.79%57.71%58.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.651.651.7062.50%60.56%60.61%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.22%2.37cote équitable
EV -0.784%
Avantage -0.333%
Kelly -0.581%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.01%42.21%42.29%43.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.192.282.282.3545.66%43.94%43.86%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.77%E -1.04%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.05%E -0.884%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 22:35
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.77%E -1.04%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:40
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.77%E -1.04%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.77%E -1.04%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:40
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.35%E -1.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.63%E -0.699%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 21:55
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.35%E -1.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.63%E -0.699%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 21:50
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.35%E -1.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-05 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.35%E -1.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 21:19
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.93%E -1.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.58%E -2.03%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 21:20
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.93%E -1.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 21:19
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.93%E -1.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.54%E -3.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.93%E -1.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.54%E -3.44%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:40
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.16%E -1.83%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.58%E -2.03%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 22:19
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 21:19
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.12%E -3.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.08%E -2.46%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.63%E -0.699%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.08%E -2.46%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 21:19
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.08%E -2.46%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.08%E -2.46%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.85%E -2.62%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 21:19
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.784%E -0.333%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 21:19
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 21:18
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 14:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 14:48
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 21:18
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:35
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 21:50
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:20
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:50
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.16%E -1.83%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:50
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.58%E -2.03%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:54
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 14:59
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.12%E -3.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.12%E -3.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:20
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:20
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:20
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:20
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:20
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:20
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:20
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.74%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:20
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.63%E -0.699%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 19:20
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 15:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 21:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.12%E -3.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:19
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-05 22:40
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-05 21:50
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-05-05 22:40
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-05-05 22:40
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%4.7%2026-05-05 22:39