L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 22:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 3–6 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 54.46%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.66%54.53%54.46%55.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.49%57.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.54%2.20cote équitable
EV +0.187%
Avantage +0.085%
Kelly +0.156%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.02%45.47%45.54%46.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.112.102.2048.78%47.37%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.187%E +0.085%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 21:20
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.06%E -1.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.724%E -0.332%K -0.614%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-26 22:09
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.18%E -0.543%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 21:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.18%E -0.543%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 21:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.18%E -0.543%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 21:20
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.97%E -1.10%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.63%E -0.757%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-26 21:30
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.52%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.63%E -0.757%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-26 22:00
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.52%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.63%E -0.757%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-26 22:09
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.06%E -1.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.63%E -0.757%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 22:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.06%E -1.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.63%E -0.757%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 22:08
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.52%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-26 19:30
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.52%E -1.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-26 19:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-26 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 10:09
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 21:29
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.09%E -0.972%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.46%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 22:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.51%E -5.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.46%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 22:10
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.51%E -5.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.46%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.60%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.91%E -1.85%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 21:09
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.60%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 19:30
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.60%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 18:49
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.60%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 21:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.60%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 22:00
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.60%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 18:46
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.60%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 18:50
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 20:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:10
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:10
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 22:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:49
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 23:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 22:59
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.87%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 22:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.05%E -5.42%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 22:10
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -9.60%E -5.78%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 22:10
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.15%E -2.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.82%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 21:10
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.15%E -2.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.82%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 22:10
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.82%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 21:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 19:30
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 20:39
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -10.14%E -6.15%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 22:10
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.15%E -2.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.73%E -2.77%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 20:40
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.15%E -2.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.73%E -2.77%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 20:40
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.60%E -2.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.69%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 21:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 19:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.78%E -3.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 21:09
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.33%E -3.68%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 21:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.64%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 21:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-26 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-26 22:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-26 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-26 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-26 22:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-26 18:50
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-05-26 22:10
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-05-26 22:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-26 22:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-26 22:10