Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 17:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 3–2 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 61.59%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.914%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.45%61.59%61.63%62.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.551.6066.67%64.40%64.52%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.41%2.60cote équitable
EV -0.125%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.078%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.41%38.37%39.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.23%40.00%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 61.59% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 38.41%. Pour Washington Nationals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.603. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.600, pour une espérance de -0.125% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.46%E -0.914%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-27 17:09
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.46%E -0.914%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-27 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -1.46%E -0.914%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -3.20%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -1.46%E -0.914%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -3.20%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 17:09
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.46%E -0.914%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -5.12%E -2.07%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.08%E -1.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.66%E -0.649%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-27 15:40
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.08%E -1.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.66%E -0.649%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-27 17:09
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.08%E -1.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.05%E -0.802%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 17:09
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.69%E -1.70%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -2.05%E -0.802%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 17:09
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.69%E -1.70%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-27 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.31%E -2.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.31%E -2.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 17:09
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.31%E -2.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.31%E -2.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.31%E -2.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 17:09
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.31%E -2.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 17:10
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.31%E -2.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.81%E -3.25%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.05%E -0.802%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-27 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.20%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 17:09
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 17:09
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.04%E -2.91%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 17:09
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.04%E -2.91%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 17:09
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.81%E -3.25%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 17:10
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 17:09
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 16:59
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 17:00
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.05%E -0.802%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 15:40
Fanatics🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 17:09
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 17:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.125%E -0.048%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 02:30
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 16:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 16:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 03:19
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 15:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.89%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.77%E -3.77%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.66%E -2.74%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.05%E -0.802%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.97%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.81%E -3.25%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 16:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.65%E -5.06%K -8.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-27 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-27 17:10
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-05-27 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-27 17:10
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-27 16:30
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%1.3%2026-05-27 17:10
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-05-27 17:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-27 16:00
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-05-27 17:09
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%3.1%2026-05-27 16:30