A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-06-30 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 2–4 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 46.50%2.15odd justa
EV -0.017%
Vantagem -0.008%
Kelly -0.015%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.31%46.58%46.53%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1551.28%48.94%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 53.50%1.87odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.558%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.42%53.47%54.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.791.801.8557.80%55.72%55.56%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.017%E -0.008%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 22:09
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.482%E -0.225%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-30 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.947%E -0.445%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-30 22:09
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.947%E -0.445%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-30 22:09
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.41%E -0.666%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-30 22:39
Everygame2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.88%E -0.890%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 21:40
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.88%E -0.890%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.64%E -1.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-30 22:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.31%E -3.00%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:39
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.31%E -3.00%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:39
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:39
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:40
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.03%E -0.558%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-30 22:19
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.27%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.24%E -2.37%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 19:40
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.27%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.31%E -3.00%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:38
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.27%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.85%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:39
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.20%E -2.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:38
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:27
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 20:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 19:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:30
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 19:39
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 19:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 19:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.31%E -3.00%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:38
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.31%E -3.00%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.31%E -3.00%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 21:39
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.85%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 19:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 19:09
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 19:09
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 19:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.67%E -2.28%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.45%E -4.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 22:40
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -5.13%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.03%E -0.558%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 20:10
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.13%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 19:09
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.60%E -2.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 19:58
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.60%E -2.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 19:59
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -6.06%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.57%E -0.852%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.06%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 20:19
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.06%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 20:10
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.06%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 20:59
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.06%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.24%E -2.37%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 22:19
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:19
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:19
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:10
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:19
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.10%E -1.15%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.64%E -1.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 20:19
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.64%E -1.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 20:19
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.64%E -1.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 20:10
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.64%E -1.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 20:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 22:39
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.85%E -3.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 19:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 20:19
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.92%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.64%E -1.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.39%E -4.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.38%E -3.65%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 22:19
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.32%E -4.78%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 22:29
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -9.32%E -4.78%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.24%E -2.37%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-30 17:49
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-30 22:40
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-06-30 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-06-30 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-06-30 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-06-30 22:40
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%1.5%2026-06-30 22:40
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-06-30 22:39
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-06-30 22:30
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.3%2026-06-30 22:40