默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians v San Francisco Giants

开赛时间: 2026-08-19 22:41 UTC

最终结果: Cleveland Guardians 0–1 San Francisco Giants

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 66.88%1.50公平赔率
EV -1.02%
优势 -0.687%
Kelly -2.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布
64.59%67.02%66.97%69.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.32%70.42%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Francisco Giants (客队)

预测 33.12%3.02公平赔率
EV +4.99%
优势 +1.57%
Kelly +2.30%
增长率 +0.115%

假设最高赔率为 3.17

博彩公司预测分布
30.48%32.98%33.03%35.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.872.873.1737.04%34.86%34.84%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cleveland Guardians (主队):66.88%;San Francisco Giants (客队):33.12%。 对于“San Francisco Giants (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.02。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.17,对应+4.99%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -7.04%E -5.06%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV +4.99%E +1.57%K +2.30%G +0.115%3.5%2026-08-19 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV +0.682%E +0.224%K +0.334%G +0.002%2.3%2026-08-19 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -1.02%E -0.687%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV -0.643%E -0.214%K -0.322%G +0.000%0.9%2026-08-19 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -0.643%E -0.214%K -0.322%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -0.643%E -0.214%K -0.322%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.643%E -0.214%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 22:35
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -0.643%E -0.214%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%EV -1.31%E -0.438%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-19 21:30
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -1.31%E -0.438%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-19 22:35
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.35%E -1.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.97%E -0.665%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 21:30
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.35%E -1.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.97%E -0.665%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 19:15
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -2.30%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 22:25
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.30%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 22:05
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 22:30
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 21:25
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 21:25
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:40
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:40
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.70%E -5.58%K -20.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.29%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 17:15
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.62%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.62%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.62%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.62%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 22:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 22:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 15:39
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 20:25
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 20:25
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.04%E -6.65%K -25.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.94%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:25
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.94%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 20:14
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 22:28
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 22:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 21:25
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 22:29
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.02%E -0.687%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 22:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.02%E -0.687%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.04%E -5.06%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.70%E -5.58%K -20.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 22:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-19 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-19 22:40
Novig◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16%1.0%2026-08-19 22:40
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-19 14:05
Polymarket◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-19 20:10
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-19 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-19 22:30
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-08-19 22:00
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-08-19 21:30
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-08-19 22:40