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Cleveland Guardians v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-08-14 23:11 UTC

Finale: Cleveland Guardians 5–7 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 52.43%1.91quota equa
EV +0.145%
Vantaggio +0.076%
Kelly +0.160%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.15%52.46%52.36%53.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.821.831.9157.14%54.86%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.57%2.10quota equa
EV +0.368%
Vantaggio +0.174%
Kelly +0.332%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.48%47.54%47.64%48.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.012.002.1152.08%49.87%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cleveland Guardians (Casa): 52.43%; San Diego Padres (Trasferta): 47.57%. Per San Diego Padres (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.10. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.11, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.368%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -3.52%E -1.92%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV +0.368%E +0.174%K +0.332%G +0.001%1.7%2026-08-14 20:19
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -3.52%E -1.92%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -0.108%E -0.051%K -0.098%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 23:05
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.06%E -0.509%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.01%E -0.976%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 19:09
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.43%E -0.759%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 20:19
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 23:09
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 21:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 21:14
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.43%E -0.759%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.44%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 23:10
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.43%E -0.759%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.44%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.43%E -0.759%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.44%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 22:34
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 21:19
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.15%E -3.43%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 23:09
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.15%E -3.43%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 23:09
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.145%E +0.076%K +0.160%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 21:19
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 19:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 19:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 19:24
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.15%E -3.43%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 23:00
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 22:43
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 23:00
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 20:42
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 23:08
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 23:08
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -8.67%E -4.52%K -9.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 22:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-08-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-14 23:10
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-14 20:04
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-14 20:25
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-08-14 23:10
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-08-14 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%3.7%2026-08-14 22:54