Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-06-10 17:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 4–8 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 52.25%1.91odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.656%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.33%52.27%52.22%53.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.831.831.8957.14%54.69%54.64%52.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 47.75%2.09odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.564%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.67%47.73%47.78%48.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.002.002.0752.08%50.12%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 52.25%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 47.75%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.09. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.07, com valor esperado de -1.17%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.24%E -0.656%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-10 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.24%E -0.656%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 17:09
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.76%E -0.937%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.76%E -0.937%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-10 17:10
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-10 17:10
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-10 04:39
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 17:00
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.17%E -0.564%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 17:09
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.17%E -0.564%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.64%E -0.798%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.64%E -0.798%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-10 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 11:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.94%E -3.02%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.94%E -3.02%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 17:10
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:10
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:09
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.85%E -2.09%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.85%E -2.09%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 09:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 20:39
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 13:50
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 12:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 16:49
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.99%E -2.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.99%E -2.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.42%E -3.27%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 17:10
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.42%E -2.99%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 17:09
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.42%E -2.99%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 17:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 17:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 12:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 12:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.46%E -3.61%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.33%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 16:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.99%E -3.93%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.99%E -3.93%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 17:08
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -4.99%E -2.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -4.99%E -2.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-06-10 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-06-10 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-06-10 17:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-06-10 17:09
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-06-10 17:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-10 17:10
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-10 17:10
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-10 16:40
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-06-10 17:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-06-10 17:10