默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets

2026-08-05 22:40 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 48.39%2.07公平赔率
EV -0.800%
优势 -0.390%
Kelly -0.762%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
46.48%48.36%48.41%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.891.981.982.0552.91%50.53%50.51%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Mets (客队)

预测 51.61%1.94公平赔率
EV -1.43%
优势 -0.746%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.64%51.59%53.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.27%54.20%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Cleveland Guardians (主队):48.39%;New York Mets (客队):51.61%。 对于“Cleveland Guardians (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.07。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.05,期望值为-0.800%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.800%E -0.390%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 19:15
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.800%E -0.390%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 02:39
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 02:39
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 02:40
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 02:25
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 02:44
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:24
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:24
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:25
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:25
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:24
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:25
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:24
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:24
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.07%E -3.34%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:28
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.74%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.43%E -0.746%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 02:29
Caesars2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.74%E -1.36%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.94%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:54
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 02:29
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 02:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 02:39
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:35
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:05
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.59%E -3.64%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:24
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.22%E -1.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.10%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:29
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.70%E -1.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.04%E -2.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:40
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.19%E -2.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 02:39
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.19%E -2.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 02:39
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.19%E -2.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.62%E -4.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:24
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.19%E -2.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.62%E -4.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:25
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.67%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:39
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.67%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:40
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.67%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.04%E -2.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:40
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.67%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.04%E -2.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:40
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.15%E -2.63%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:24
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.15%E -2.63%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.15%E -2.63%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:40
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.15%E -2.63%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:40
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.15%E -2.63%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 02:24
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.15%E -2.63%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.04%E -2.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.15%E -2.63%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.04%E -2.74%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 02:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:54
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:29
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:25
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 02:38
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 02:39
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 02:40
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:55
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.04%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 02:39
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.61%E -3.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 01:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.43%E -0.746%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 02:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 02:25
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 02:24
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.52%E -2.44%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 02:24
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.94%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 02:40
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -8.54%E -4.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 02:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-05 02:25
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-08-05 02:10
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-08-05 02:40
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78%9.7%2026-08-05 02:10