La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-07-20 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 13–4 Minnesota Twins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 45.63%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.529%
Ventaja -0.243%
Kelly -0.448%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.96%45.67%45.74%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.59%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 54.37%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.574%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.33%54.26%56.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.751.751.8259.52%57.19%57.14%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.529%E -0.243%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 21:15
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.529%E -0.243%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-20 19:10
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.529%E -0.243%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-20 19:10
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.529%E -0.243%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 20:14
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.986%E -0.454%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 21:55
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.44%E -0.668%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 21:15
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.44%E -0.668%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 21:15
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.44%E -0.668%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 19:10
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.44%E -0.668%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 19:10
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.90%E -0.883%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.76%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-20 20:50
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.90%E -0.883%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 22:35
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.90%E -0.883%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 19:10
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.90%E -0.883%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.90%E -0.883%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 19:10
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.90%E -0.883%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 19:10
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.90%E -0.883%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 19:10
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.90%E -0.883%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 19:10
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.59%E -0.877%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-20 21:30
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 19:10
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 19:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 19:10
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.04%E -0.574%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-20 20:55
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.27%E -1.54%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 16:15
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 19:14
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.76%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.76%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 17:25
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.76%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 19:10
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.76%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 16:05
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.76%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 17:25
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 19:15
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 17:20
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 16:15
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 17:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 17:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 17:45
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 17:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 17:30
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 16:45
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.66%E -5.15%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 19:10
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.64%E -2.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 22:20
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.64%E -2.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 22:35
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.64%E -2.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:39
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.09%E -2.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 17:25
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.09%E -2.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 21:45
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.09%E -2.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 16:15
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.55%E -2.68%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 17:25
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.55%E -2.68%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 17:25
Everygame2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 22:40
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.76%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.76%E -2.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 17:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 22:25
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 20:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.83%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 22:15
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 22:39
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.31%E -2.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 22:40
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 22:30
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 22:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-07-20 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-07-20 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-07-20 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-07-20 22:10
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-07-20 22:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-20 22:40
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-20 22:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-20 18:25
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-07-20 22:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-07-20 22:40