Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-05-08 23:16 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 6–4 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 57.15%1.75odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.67%57.03%57.14%57.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.671.671.7161.73%59.71%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 42.85%2.33odd justa
EV -0.587%
Vantagem -0.253%
Kelly -0.445%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.29%42.97%42.86%45.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.232.232.3248.78%44.87%44.84%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 57.15%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 42.85%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.33. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.32, com valor esperado de -0.587%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.44%E -0.628%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-08 20:19
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.87%E -0.818%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 19:34
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.87%E -0.818%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.30%E -1.01%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.30%E -1.01%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 22:49
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 22:44
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.587%E -0.253%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 19:34
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.16%E -5.93%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 23:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 15:24
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 19:34
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 22:24
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 21:15
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 16:20
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.02%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 22:57
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 19:34
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:14
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 20:29
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:14
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 13:44
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:34
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:34
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:34
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:34
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:34
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:34
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 16:19
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 03:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 22:19
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 19:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 19:34
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 19:34
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 19:34
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:09
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 19:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 18:25
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.27%E -3.83%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 23:14
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 20:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.54%0.0%2026-05-08 23:14
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-05-08 23:14
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-08 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-08 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-08 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-08 23:14
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-08 23:09
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-08 13:29
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-08 23:09
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-05-08 23:14