默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins

开赛时间: 2026-05-10 17:41 UTC

最终结果: Cleveland Guardians 4–5 Minnesota Twins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 59.26%1.69公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.620%
Kelly -1.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
57.29%59.17%59.29%60.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.611.611.6764.52%61.94%62.11%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Minnesota Twins (客队)

预测 40.74%2.45公平赔率
EV -0.188%
优势 -0.077%
Kelly -0.129%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
39.24%40.83%40.71%42.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.60%42.55%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cleveland Guardians (主队):59.26%;Minnesota Twins (客队):40.74%。 对于“Minnesota Twins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.455。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.450,期望值为-0.188%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.04%E -0.620%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -7.52%E -3.31%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.63%E -0.981%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.22%E -0.927%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-10 17:34
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.22%E -1.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.82%E -0.754%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 17:14
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.22%E -1.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 17:39
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.22%E -1.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 17:39
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.22%E -1.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 17:14
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.22%E -1.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 17:39
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.81%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.00%E -0.413%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.81%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.82%E -0.754%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.81%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.81%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.81%E -1.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 17:39
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.188%E -0.077%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-10 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.00%E -0.413%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 10:49
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 17:34
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.188%E -0.077%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 15:29
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 16:35
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 17:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.00%E -2.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.22%E -0.927%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 15:02
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.22%E -0.927%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 10:53
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.22%E -0.927%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 15:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 17:38
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:13
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 16:19
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:04
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:04
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:04
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:04
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:04
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:04
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.48%E -2.36%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 17:34
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:38
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.59%E -2.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.22%E -0.927%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 15:19
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.22%E -0.927%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 15:20
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:19
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 17:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 17:04
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.78%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:19
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.78%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.78%E -3.63%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 17:29
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 15:59
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.22%E -0.927%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 15:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-05-10 17:39
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-10 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-10 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-10 17:39
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-05-10 17:39
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-10 17:39
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-10 17:39
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-10 17:39
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-10 16:40
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-05-10 17:39