L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 22:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 51.68%1.94cote équitable
EV -0.266%
Avantage -0.138%
Kelly -0.286%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.53%51.79%51.59%54.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.831.831.9357.14%54.54%54.64%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.32%2.07cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +0.705%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%48.21%48.41%49.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.992.002.1052.36%50.18%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +1.48%E +0.705%K +1.35%G +0.020%4.8%2026-04-06 22:07
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +0.514%E +0.247%K +0.476%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-06 22:08
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +0.031%E +0.015%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:08
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +0.031%E +0.015%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:08
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -0.452%E -0.220%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-06 11:25
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -0.452%E -0.220%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-06 22:05
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 21:35
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.47%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 21:35
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.47%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 21:35
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.47%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 21:35
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.47%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 21:35
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.47%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 21:35
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.47%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 21:35
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.47%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 21:35
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 12:24
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 06:44
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.47%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 11:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:54
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 04:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 04:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 04:25
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 21:35
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 21:35
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.35%E -1.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 21:35
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.782%E -0.407%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 22:09
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.88%E -2.09%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 21:49
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.92%E -2.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:09
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 10:15
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.266%E -0.138%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 22:10
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.266%E -0.138%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 22:09
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.266%E -0.138%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-06 22:10
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 15:55
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:00
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.92%E -2.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.80%E -2.44%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 22:09
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.92%E -2.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.80%E -2.44%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.80%E -2.44%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 21:44
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.28%E -2.70%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 22:08
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:08
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 21:14
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:09
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 22:09
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 21:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 21:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.88%E -2.09%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.25%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.92%E -2.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 22:09
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.49%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.51%-0.9%2026-04-06 22:09
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%0.9%2026-04-06 22:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-06 22:10
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-06 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-06 21:50
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-06 22:05
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-06 22:10
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-06 22:10