L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 17:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 45.56%2.19cote équitable
EV +1.14%
Avantage +0.516%
Kelly +0.938%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.22%45.62%45.60%47.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.102.102.2251.55%47.65%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.44%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.920%
Avantage -0.506%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.79%54.38%54.40%55.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.751.741.8259.52%57.28%57.47%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +1.14%E +0.516%K +0.938%G +0.011%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-08 17:09
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.234%E +0.106%K +0.195%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 17:10
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.234%E +0.106%K +0.195%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 17:10
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.222%E -0.101%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-08 16:50
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.13%E -0.522%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 17:09
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.59%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 17:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.04%E -0.951%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 16:35
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.04%E -0.951%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:15
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.04%E -0.951%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:19
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.04%E -0.951%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 17:10
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.96%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.920%E -0.506%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-08 15:25
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.96%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 17:02
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -2.96%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:38
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 17:05
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 17:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 17:05
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 17:05
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 17:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 17:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 17:05
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 17:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 16:10
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 05:45
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 16:34
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 16:34
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 16:35
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 17:05
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 06:29
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 16:14
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 17:10
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 17:05
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 17:05
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 17:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 17:00
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 16:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 17:10
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.78%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 17:09
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.69%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:09
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.69%E -2.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.36%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.14%E -2.98%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 17:10
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.14%E -2.98%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 17:10
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 04:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 04:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 04:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 04:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.73%E -2.70%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 17:08
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 17:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.82%E -3.36%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.97%E -3.94%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.54%E -5.08%K -12.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 17:10
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 17:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.88%E -4.44%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.64%E -2.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 12:45
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -9.33%E -4.69%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -3.10%E -1.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.61%E -5.99%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.45%E -4.38%K -10.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%0.6%2026-04-08 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-04-08 17:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-04-08 17:10
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-04-08 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-04-08 17:10
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%1.8%2026-04-08 17:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-04-08 17:05
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-04-08 17:10
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%3.3%2026-04-08 17:10