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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cleveland Guardians v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-05-29 23:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 4–3 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 53.27%1.88momio equitativo
EV -0.387%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.445%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%53.22%53.25%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.42%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 46.73%2.14momio equitativo
EV -0.463%
Ventaja -0.217%
Kelly -0.410%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%46.78%46.75%48.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.032.042.1351.28%49.25%48.90%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 53.27%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 46.73%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.88. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.87, con un valor esperado de -0.387%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.387%E -0.207%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.45%E -0.785%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.45%E -0.785%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 22:40
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.86%E -0.888%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.86%E -0.888%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 22:30
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.86%E -0.888%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 22:30
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.86%E -0.888%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 22:30
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 23:09
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:39
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:39
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.41%E -4.29%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.41%E -4.29%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 22:39
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.52%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 20:59
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.05%E -1.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.463%E -0.217%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-29 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.86%E -0.888%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-29 22:47
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.73%E -1.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 22:48
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:29
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:49
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:40
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:39
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:28
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:29
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:29
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 23:08
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 23:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.12%E -2.29%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.65%E -2.60%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.80%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.65%E -2.60%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:49
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.27%E -1.58%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 22:39
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.67%E -2.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 22:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.14%E -2.53%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.18%E -2.91%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.14%E -2.53%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 22:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.71%E -3.23%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.25%E -3.55%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.25%E -3.55%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 22:49
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 13:39
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.78%E -3.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-05-29 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-05-29 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-05-29 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-05-29 23:00
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-29 23:10
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-29 21:40
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-05-29 23:10
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-29 16:19
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-05-29 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%2.5%2026-05-29 23:09