La scuola delle quote

Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-04-19 17:41 UTC

Finale: Cleveland Guardians 8–4 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 52.34%1.91quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -2.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.68%52.38%52.22%53.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.821.821.8757.47%54.96%54.95%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.66%2.10quota equa
EV +0.564%
Vantaggio +0.267%
Kelly +0.508%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.45%47.62%47.78%49.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.002.002.1154.05%49.96%50.00%47.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.564%E +0.267%K +0.508%G +0.003%2.0%2026-04-19 17:39
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.080%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 17:15
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.34%E -0.648%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 15:15
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.82%E -0.883%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 17:24
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.31%E -3.53%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -1.82%E -0.883%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 17:38
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.13%E -1.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 17:30
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 17:05
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 15:25
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.13%E -1.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.77%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.13%E -1.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.77%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 17:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.77%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.70%E -2.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:30
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 15:25
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 16:45
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.53%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 15:24
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.53%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.70%E -2.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.20%E -2.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:29
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.20%E -2.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 15:10
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 18:15
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:40
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 18:14
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:30
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:39
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:15
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:15
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 23:15
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:30
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:30
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:30
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:30
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:30
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:30
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:30
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.27%E -2.91%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:30
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.27%E -2.91%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:30
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.27%E -2.91%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.27%E -2.91%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 17:39
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 18:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.36%E -4.16%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.41%E -4.80%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 17:34
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.15%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:39
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 05:45
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.74%E -2.61%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.27%E -2.91%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:34
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.58%E -3.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 17:40
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 15:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 17:35
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.22%E -2.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -8.93%E -5.13%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.40%E -5.53%K -11.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 17:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.79%E -3.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 53.47%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.53%-0.5%2026-04-19 17:39
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-19 17:40
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-04-19 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-19 17:35
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-04-19 17:40
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-04-19 17:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-19 17:05
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-04-19 17:40